Near Future Laboratory Newsletter
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Date: January 5, 2026

Summary: This issue invites you into General Seminar S07/E01 (January 14, 10:00 UTC-8) to take the updated AI 2027 Futures Model as a provocation: not something to worship or dunk on, but fuel for critical thinking and speculative imagination. We’ll translate model claims into everyday evidence — design fiction artifacts you can “hold,” like future-archeologists’ finds from a near future where AI is as ordinary as breakfast and as ominous as a USB cable. Alongside the seminar invite, there’s a Dispatches From The Future “Newspaper From An AI Future,” a look back at the 2007 Slow Messenger “theory object,” a note from the ai-modelling-ai channel about the model’s latest claims, and a recommended read: James Auger on speculative design and robots in everyday life. It closes with a few signals from the Nicolas Nova curiosities archive, including UI design archeology via 1990s Kai’s Power Tools.

Essentially: Use the AI 2027 futures update as a prompt to make tangible artifacts, think clearly, and ask what kind of AI future we actually want.

But why? Futures models can trigger hype, dread, and paralysis — especially when they sound confident about timelines and “job obsolescence.” Artifact-making turns abstract claims into legible, discussable evidence, so you can inspect assumptions, surface second-order consequences, and choose boundaries (cultural, ethical, policy) instead of sleepwalking into whatever arrives. The point isn’t prediction; it’s building shared clarity and agency.

To Be..Or Not To Be A Futurist
To Be..Or Not To Be A Futurist
To Be..Or Not To Be A Futurist

It’s Week 02 of 2026 and we’re wondering what it means to be a futurist

View/share online

To Be..Or Not To Be A Futurist

(That’s not the question..).


Every few months, someone restarts the debate:

“Should anyone really call themselves a futurist?”

Some say yes. Some say absolutely not.
Some argue like they’re defending the integrity of a professional guild.

Others just roll their eyes and move on.

On one side, you’ve got folks who built a personal brand around the term. They speak at conferences, wear eye-catching outfits, and seem to have mastered the art of looking like they’re from the future—even if they don’t do much futures work.

On the other side, you’ve got skeptics who question the legitimacy of the whole label—especially when it’s earned via a certificate, a webinar, or a well-optimized LinkedIn bio.

I get both reactions.

Calling yourself a futurist because you took a course does feel like calling yourself a chef because you watched a cooking show.

But also—who cares what people call themselves if they’re genuinely helping others navigate change?

What if we stopped debating the word and started paying attention to the work?

Look at people who never claimed the title but reshaped what’s possible:

Dick Fosbury could imagine going over the high jump backwards when everyone was hopping over it forwards.

Bill Bowerman imagined jogging — before that was even a thing.

Alex Honnold free-solo'd a wall no one thought was possible.

They weren’t predicting the future.

They were inhabiting the world they imagined with commitment, focus, and will.

Not with buzzwords, but with real shifts in how we move, think, and imagine.

If “futurist” means anything, it should point to that kind of energy applied imagination, grounded experimentation, and the guts to try something no one else has.

The problem isn’t the word “futurist”.

Maybe the best way to reclaim the future — and those who work for it — is to stop worrying about who gets to claim the badge “futurist” and focus on the work itself.

So I said all of that to say this: to be a futurist is to have a stake in and actively imagine, shape, and discuss possible futures. And the crazy thing is? We all can imagine possibilities. It’s part of being human. But, we do not do it enough, is what I would say. We need to build up our ability imagination musculature. And, more importantly, reflect on how we actually might be living in someone else’s future just because they are (a) charistmatics and/or (b) have lots of money.

So, whether you call yourself a futurist or not, the real question is: what futures are you helping to create? Curious to get deeper into this? Then accept my invitation to General Seminar below!

_julian_

AI 2027 Futures Model Update!? General Seminar S07/E01

That AI 2027 Future Thing Is Back!

What's real, what’s hype, and WTF!?

General Seminar S07/E01 AI 2027 Cover Art

Remember that AI Futures Model from the AI 2027 project? Well...it’s back with some conjurings!

And so is General Seminar..just in a nick of time.

Check this out: the AI 2027 Futures team updated their AI Futures Model (check it out below!) with some new (vaguely antagonizing/curious/provocative) assumptions, some new timelines..and new confidence that this thing we called ‘a job’ will become obsolete..whatever that means.

And that’s why I want you to join me on January 14, 10:00 (UTC-8) General Seminar Season 07 Episode 01 dives into this AI Futures Model update with a critical eye and a speculative imagination.

Here's what we‘ll do: Instead of treating these kinds of futures forecasts like some kind of prophecy (or dunking on it just to excise that sense of confusion/rage), we’ll use it as fuel for imagining: We’ll turn model claims into everyday evidence — those future-archeologists' artifacts dug up from a near future where AI is ordinary as buttered toast and as sinister as a USB cable.

((Pssst..Remember that Newspaper from an AI Future? We'll be using the same approach to unpack the assumptions behind this model and explore what it means for all of us. So if you've ever wanted to get an inside look into how Design Fiction works, this is your chance!))

In this General Seminar, we won’t pontificate about AI timelines. We won't make vague assumptions about what will or will not come to pass.

What we will do is explore how to think critically about such models and their implications for our understanding of a near future with, alongside of, within, and, you know..without this artificial intelligence thing!

General Seminar is my platform where we explore the near future of technology, culture, and society through Design Fiction that lead us to meaningful and engaging discussions, thought-provoking scenarios, and imaginative near future artifacts.

What’s for breakfast in the AI future? What is the hype hyperbolizing and, more importantly, what kind of AI future do we want to inhabit — or avoid?

Join me as we navigate the complexities of our rapidly evolving world and envision the possibilities that lie ahead.

Get Your Ticket (Ltd Seats!) →

Dispatches From The Future A Newspaper From An AI Future

TRENDS & SIGNALS
AI Futures Creative Practices Film & Media Speculative Design

Creative Artists In An AI Future

An Artifact From A Possible Future

Creative Artists In An AI Future

It was a year ago, but still more relevant now than ever..this “article” in that newspaper from an AI future where I wondered and wandered about the creative arts and AI topic.

Here’s what was going on — I wanted to corral some of the conversations, debates, confusion and wonderings about AI in the creative arts space. As you can imagine, here n Los Angeles we had the writers and actors guild strikes going on, and a lot of the conversation was about how AI would/was/could be used in the creative process, and, you know — what that meant for the future of creative work.

And around the same time I was working on this artifact — a newspaper from a possible AI future..so I wrote this article as part of that artifact to explore some of those ideas and questions.

Now, these Design Fiction artifacts are not meant to be predictions, or prognostications. They are closer to reflections of current trends, signals, and anxieties — and their possible implicadtions projected into a near future context. In this case, the container is a newspaper from that future, complete with articles, ads, classifieds, and more.

Think of it more like a mirror held up to the present, reflecting our current hopes, fears, and speculations about AI in the creative arts. It opens up the conversation in a way that is maybe more engaging and accessible than a dry report or academic paper. (And more fun too, I have to say.)

This one particular artifact imagines that the storied creative agency “CAA” has rebranded and refocused to be “Creative Artists & Agentics” (get it?) — a bit of a nod and perhaps a compromise between the human creative artist and their AI counterparts.

(Don’t get mad at me..I just take trends and signals and dream up some of their implications and decant them into familiar things like candy wrappers, children’s toys, and, you know, news articles in newspapers. 🙋🏽‍♂️)

Read all about it! →

From The Laboratory’s Project Archives

Slow Messenger (2007)

A Product From An Adjacent Now

Revisiting the Slow Messenger project by the Near Future Laboratory, which started as a kind of ironic joke — rather than Instant Messenger..at a time when that was not taken for granted for any kind of messaging.
What was this all about?
Well, the concept is that of a communication device that delivers messages at a deliberately slow pace. Rather, one had to be holding the device and moving in order for the messages to be delivered..and they came out one character at a time. This was a theory object as we used to call this kind of thing. A bit overly thought, upon looking back. Like..a lot of work to make and wonder through a point, but this was (and stiill is) at a time when I strongly value the way doing can lead to knowing. And this was a way to explore and reflect on the nature of communication, patience, and the value of anticipation in an age where instant messaging was becoming the norm.

Slow Messenger Project Archive

Food For Thought Section

From the ai-modelling-ai Channel

DEPARTMENT OF Modeling Futures  | shared by Julian Bleecker, Ph.D.

That AI Futures Model

So that thing I was describing? The AI 2027 updated futures model?

This is it: the latest update to the AI Futures Model claims to provide new timelines for full coding automation, projecting a delay of about three years compared to earlier forecasts.
However, these predictions hinge on the flawed assumption that AI will ultimately be capable of performing all tasks autonomously.
This overly optimistic outlook raises questions about the model's reliability and applicability. If the foundational premise is misguided, can we truly trust the projections it offers? A closer examination of the underlying assumptions is necessary to understand the limitations of this model.

// New AI Futures Model pushes back timelines for full coding automation by three years.

// The model operates on the assumption that AI will eventually handle all cognitive tasks, a premise that lacks, shall what I would call, you know..evidence.

This is why you should join me for General Seminar on the 14th! Critical analysis of these foundational beliefs is absolutely essential for evaluating the futures that are being imagined for us, never mind the model's validity.

Read The Updates →

Welcome and Hello!

Hi! Welcome. Thanks for reading. In case you’re new here and wondering — I’m Julian Bleecker. I help leaders and strategy teams navigate uncertainty through strategic prototyping — working backward from plausible near futures to make today’s choices clearer.

I use an approach I pioneered called Design Fiction. You see some of it here in the newsletter and definitely over on my site over at Near Future Laboratory.

I create tangible artifacts and narrative experiences that turn abstract foresight into concrete strategic options, alignment, and action. My practice spans engineering (BSEE, MSEng/HCI) and the social sciences/humanities (PhD), so the work holds up technically and lands with cultural relevance and it‘s grounded and tangible.

Near Future Laboratory can bring decades of experience, expertise, and an extensive network of similarly talented professionals — and I'm available for commissions, facilitated workshops, seminars, talks, embedded engagements, and leadership roles.

Things Nicolas Found Curious

From an archive of things I gathered amongst the scattered and curious things Nicolas Nova observed, noticed, and collected over the years.
One of Nicolas' great talents was his ability to spot the peculiar, the intriguing, and the downright strange in everyday objects and experiences. His keen eye for detail and his insatiable curiosity led him to amass a collection of artifacts that tell stories about our culture, technology, and the human condition.
He collected scraps, fragments, and partial objects that might otherwise go unnoticed. Each item in his collection is a testament to his ability to see the extraordinary in the ordinary.

Aesthetically Pleasing
Aesthetically Pleasing
Aesthetically Pleasing

UI Design Archeology

Before there was Liquid Glass..

Kai’s Power Tools (1992)

Kai’s Power Tools was a super nerdy graphics software in the 1990s which had this positively quirky UI meant to somehow make sense for doing image processing and such, more like an inscrutible game than an instrumental tool.

There is always a before times.. →